# Indonesia Trade Surplus Expected to Drop in September

> Indonesia's trade surplus forecast falls sharply as oil prices weigh on imports.
- Title: Indonesia Trade Surplus Expected to Drop in September
- Summary: Indonesia's trade surplus forecast falls sharply as oil prices weigh on imports. Indonesia's trade surplus is projected to drop to $1.79 billion in September…
- Keywords: indonesia, trade surplus, oil prices, import, export, bank permata, bank central asia, bank danamon, business, money, Trade, Surplus
- Source: CNBC Indonesia — https://cnbcindonesia.com/news/20261102070859-4-781337/surplus-dagang-ri-diramal-susut-di-september-minyak-jadi-beban
- Author: Dovana Hasiana
- Published: 2026-11-02T08:15:00+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: indonesia, trade surplus, oil prices, import, export, bank permata, bank central asia, bank danamon, business, money
## Trade surplus forecast
Indonesia's trade surplus is expected to drop significantly in September 2026.
## August surplus figure
August 2026 surplus stood at US$3.55 billion.
## September surplus projection
Bank Permata forecasts September surplus at US$1.79 billion.
## Key driver of decline
Higher oil prices boost imports more than exports.
## Export growth projection
Exports grow 9.39% annually in September 2026.
## Import growth projection
Imports grow 23.07% annually in September 2026.
## Trade deficit risk
Trade deficit could widen to 2.49% of GDP by 2026.
## Key takeaway

Indonesia's trade surplus is projected to drop to $1.79 billion in September 2026, down from $3.55 billion in August, due to higher oil prices boosting imports.