# Labour Edges National in Election Poll

> Labour leads National in latest poll but Opportunity remains kingmaker.
- Title: Labour Edges National in Election Poll · NZ Herald | Shortify
- Summary: Labour leads National in latest poll but Opportunity remains kingmaker. Labour edges ahead of National in poll with 30.7% support, but Opportunity holds 5.1%…
- Keywords: labour, national, opportunity party, election 2026, poll, nz first, act, te pāti māori, chris luxon, qiulae wong, election day, NZ Herald
- Source: NZ Herald — https://nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/election-2026-live-updates-labour-ahead-of-national-in-new-poll-but-opportunity-could-call-the-shots/6RFUIDGPLNGCDB5UGBEV4WDISM
- Read time: 2 min
- Topics: labour, national, opportunity party, election 2026, poll, nz first, act, te pāti māori, chris luxon, qiulae wong, election day, politics
## Election Campaign Final Day
It's the final day of campaigning with parties racing to secure votes before Saturday's election.
## Labour Polls Ahead
The Post/Freshwater Strategy poll shows Labour at 30.7% support, climbing two points since late October.
## National Lags
National has dropped to 26.4% support, losing 1.2 points in a fortnight.
## Opportunity Party
Opportunity Party just clears the 5% threshold with 5.1% support, down 0.3% from October.
## Green Party and Others
The Green Party sits at 13.0%, NZ First at 12.0%, Act at 9.8%, and Te Pāti Māori at 2.0%.
## Seat Calculation
National, Act, and NZ First would win 59 seats, two short of the 61 needed to govern.
## Labour Momentum
Labour's late momentum has been driven by women and youth, with Hipkins leading by 11.7 points among female voters.
## Auckland vs Wellington
National's support has held in Auckland but collapsed in Wellington, becoming a stronghold for Opportunity.
## Poll Methodology
The poll interviewed 1044 eligible voters between October 29 and November 3 with a +/-3% margin of error.
## Willie Jackson's Comment
Labour MP Willie Jackson praised Opportunity leader Qiulae Wong as a "terrific young woman" who holds her own under media fire.
## Jackson on Coalition
Jackson warned a vote for National would get Michael Laws, New Zealand First and the "nutjob party".
## Paul Goldsmith's View
National's Paul Goldsmith said Labour would be "on fire" but Opportunity might pick up the phone first to whoever has the most seats.
## Opportunity's Constitution
Opportunity Party leader Qiulae Wong defended the party's board approval process for coalition agreements.
## Wong on Transparency
Wong said the board approval is a "check and balance" to ensure the party remains accountable to its members.
## Donor Concerns
Questions arose over board member Alan Wilderland, a major donor, after he suggested working with the left-bloc might be easier.
## Key takeaway

Labour edges ahead of National in poll with 30.7% support, but Opportunity holds 5.1% and could decide the election outcome.