# Michigan vs Penn State: Best Bet Analysis

> Penn State +7 odds beat Michigan's defense in 23-17 game.
- Title: Michigan vs Penn State: Best Bet Analysis | Shortify
- Summary: Penn State +7 odds beat Michigan's defense in 23-17 game. Penn State +7 is the best bet for Michigan-Penn State game with Wolverines winning 23-17.
- Keywords: michigan, penn state, fpi, spread, draftkings, college football, big house, wolverines, nittany lions, over under, sports, Penn
- Source: Michigan Wolverines On SI — https://si.com/college/michigan/football/best-bet-to-make-in-the-michigan-wolverines-game-against-penn-state-week-7
- Published: 2026-10-16T16:00:02+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: michigan, penn state, fpi, spread, draftkings, college football, big house, wolverines, nittany lions, over under, sports
## Michigan's Season Start
Michigan came off a bye week after a disappointing 3-2 start with two tough losses.
## Penn State's Record
Penn State sits at 3-3 overall but 0-3 in Big Ten play after dropping three straight.
## FPI Power Ratings
Penn State ranks 26th nationally with a power rating of 12.5 while Michigan is 34th at 10.9.
## Spread Analysis
ESPN's FPI projects a 1.6 point advantage for Penn State on neutral field with home field adding 3 points to Michigan.
## Best Bet
DraftKings shows Michigan -7 spread with Penn State +7 as the best bet for this game.
## Score Projection
The game is projected to be low scoring with a 23-17 Michigan win and Penn State +7.
## Why Penn State?
Penn State's offense showed signs of life against USC with potential to reach mid-teens scoring.
## Michigan's Defense
Michigan's defense remains strong despite offensive struggles with a 3-2 record.
## Game Outcome
Michigan wins 23-17 over Penn State with Penn State +7 as the best bet.
## Key takeaway

Penn State +7 is the best bet for Michigan-Penn State game with Wolverines winning 23-17.