# Microsoft Stock Could Drop After Q1 Earnings

> Microsoft's stock may fall sharply if Q1 earnings miss expectations.
- Title: Microsoft Stock Could Drop After Q1 Earnings · Seekingalpha
- Summary: Microsoft's stock may fall sharply if Q1 earnings miss expectations. Microsoft's stock could drop below $500 if Q1 earnings miss expectations.
- Keywords: microsoft, q1 earnings, stock price, msft, revenue, eps, capex, money, business, Stock, Drop, Earnings
- Source: Seekingalpha — https://seekingalpha.com/article/4957544-microsofts-stock-may-fall-sharply-following-quarterly-results
- Author: Mott Capital Management
- Published: 2026-10-26T17:06:07+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: microsoft, q1 earnings, stock price, msft, revenue, eps, capex, money, business
## Microsoft Q1 Earnings
Microsoft Corporation must deliver a significant earnings and guidance beat to sustain its bullish momentum near all-time highs.
## Option Market Positioning
Option market positioning and technicals indicate a tight $500, $555 post-earnings trading range, with elevated volatility and risk of downside if results disappoint.
## Consensus Expectations
Consensus expects Q1 revenue of $90.6B (+16.7%) and EPS of $4.72 (+14.3%), with capex more than doubling to $46.6B.
## Risk of Downside
A failure to exceed expectations risks triggering selling flows and a potential drop below MSFT's $500 support, possibly down to $480.
## Key takeaway

Microsoft's stock could drop below $500 if Q1 earnings miss expectations.