# National crashes, Greens surge

> National falls below 26% in RNZ-Reid poll as Greens jump to 14.8%.
- Title: National crashes, Greens surge · RNZ | Shortify
- Summary: National falls below 26% in RNZ-Reid poll as Greens jump to 14.8%. National Party drops to 25.9% in RNZ-Reid poll, Greens surge to 14.8% with Opportunity…
- Keywords: national, greens, opportunity, rnz, reid research, election 2026, party vote, poll, kingmaker, seats, politics, news
- Source: RNZ — https://rnz.co.nz/news/politics_election-2026/1749693/rnz-reid-research-poll-national-crashes-greens-surge-opportunity-kingmaker
- Author: RNZ | Te Reo Irirangi o Aotearoa
- Published: 2026-10-05T17:27:14+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: national, greens, opportunity, rnz, reid research, election 2026, party vote, poll, kingmaker, seats, politics, news
## National plunges below 26%
National has plunged below 26 percent in a new RNZ-Reid Research poll.
## Greens surge to 14.8%
The Green Party has made the biggest gain, jumping 4.6 points to 14.8 percent.
## Opportunity kingmaker
Opportunity has edged up 0.2 points to 5.5 percent, clearing the 5 percent threshold.
## National falls 3.2 points
Christopher Luxon's National Party has fallen 3.2 percentage points since August, registering just 25.9 percent.
## Labour loses ground
Labour has also lost ground, falling 1.4 points to 30.8 percent in its third consecutive decline.
## Seat projections
National would return 32 MPs, New Zealand First 13 and ACT 11, leaving coalition five short of majority.
## What happens next
Opportunity's seven projected MPs could give either bloc the numbers to govern, though Luxon has ruled out working with them.
## Key takeaway

National Party drops to 25.9% in RNZ-Reid poll, Greens surge to 14.8% with Opportunity Party in kingmaker position.