# One Nation surges as Nationals face wipeout in Victoria

> Regional anger over renewables, roads and jobs threatens the Coalition's best election result since 1943.
- Title: One Nation surges as Nationals face wipeout in Victoria
- Summary: Regional anger over renewables, roads and jobs threatens the Coalition's best election result since 1943. One Nation's support is hovering around twenty…
- Keywords: victoria state election 2026, one nation, nationals, danny o'brien, pauline hanson, regional victoria, renewables, immigration, roads, gippsland, news, politics
- Source: the Guardian — https://theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/oct/10/regional-victoria-one-nation-nationals-state-election-2026-voters-ntwnfb
- Published: 2026-10-09T14:00:30+00:00
- Read time: 3 min
- Topics: victoria state election 2026, one nation, nationals, danny o'brien, pauline hanson, regional victoria, renewables, immigration, roads, gippsland, news, politics
## Nationals leader meets orange voter
Victorian Nationals leader Danny O'Brien was putting up corflutes when he met a woman herding cows near Poowong. She told him she liked orange, meaning One Nation, and wanted to shake things up.

> liked orange
## O'Brien warns of Labor path to victory
O'Brien replied that voting for One Nation could risk giving Labor a path to victory through the middle. The woman later offered to host one of his signs on her paddock.
## Nationals' best result since 1943
The Nationals currently hold nine seats in Victoria's lower house after picking up three seats off independents at the two thousand twenty-two election, their best result since nineteen forty-three.
## One Nation polling at twenty percent
Polls show One Nation's vote is hovering about twenty percent statewide, with support even higher in regional areas. Labor's internal polling showed the Nationals could face a wipeout at November's state election.
## Trades Hall poll predicts seat losses
A poll commissioned by Trades Hall showed the Nationals losing at least three seats to Pauline Hanson's party. O'Brien says there are no safe seats for the Nationals anymore.

> There are no safe seats and frankly, they haven't been for a long time
## One Nation is biggest threat, says Benham
Nationals MP for Mildura Jade Benham says One Nation is one hundred percent their biggest threat. She says it is not about the candidate but about the One Nation brand itself.

> One Nation are 100% our biggest threat.
## Regional industries in flux
Wellington Shire mayor Cindy Madeley says the region is in a state of flux as industries change. Sale depends on oil and gas, Yarram lost a timber mill, and offshore wind plans remain unclear.
## Locals want to stay in their communities
Madeley says people are worried about cost of living, interest rate rises, roads and hospitals. People want to stay in their communities and for their kids to stay too.

> People want to be able to stay here and for their kids to stay here.
## Hanson pledges to halt renewables
Last month Pauline Hanson was in Morwell pledging to halt new transmission lines and renewable energy projects, keep Victoria's largest coal plant operating and lift the ban on nuclear energy.
## One Nation commits to bring back logging
Last week One Nation committed to bring back logging in Victoria. The party did not respond to a request to participate in this piece.
## Farmer warns renewables transition risky
Pearsondale cattle farmer Geoff Gooch says One Nation's immigration plans would hurt agricultural and dairy industries that rely on seasonal workers. He says renewables are inevitable but must be done sensibly.
## Retiree resonates with immigration rhetoric
Con, a retiree who migrated to Australia as a ten pound pom and worked on major infrastructure projects, says One Nation's immigration rhetoric resonates with him, though he remains undecided on voting.

> If I buy a farm to accommodate 500 cattle, I don't go buying 1,000 of them
## Cleeland warns of civil war over renewables
Nationals MP for Euroa Annabelle Cleeland says people remain deeply angry about bushfires, healthcare shortages and road conditions. She says it feels like a civil war regarding renewables.

> In parts of the state it feels like a civil war regarding renewables
## Cleeland urges alternative government vote
Cleeland says the answer to anger is not a protest vote but voting in an alternative government. Opposition leader Jess Wilson has repeated this message in recent weeks.
## Benham uses M&Ms to warn of split vote
Nationals MP Jade Benham shared a video warning that a split in the conservative vote could make it harder for the Coalition to win the sixteen seats needed to form government.
## Pollster says Nationals well positioned
Pollster Kos Samaras says the Nationals brand is the strongest in the country and the party is well positioned to defend against One Nation. They offer change without chaos.

> They are demonstrating if people want change, but not chaos, they are the ones to deliver it
## Key takeaway

One Nation's support is hovering around twenty percent statewide ahead of Victoria's November election, threatening the Nationals' nine lower house seats and prompting warnings of a potential wipeout.