# Spain Poll Shows Sánchez Leads by 7.8 Points

> Spain's state pollster gives Prime Minister Sánchez a 7.8-point lead over PP in pre-election survey.
- Title: Spain Poll Shows Sánchez Leads by 7.8 Points · The Rio Times
- Summary: Spain's state pollster gives Prime Minister Sánchez a 7.8-point lead over PP in pre-election survey.
- Keywords: spain, election, spain election 2026, cis poll, pedro sanchez, people's party, vox, spain congress deputies, spain election seats, spain poll, The Rio Times
- Source: The Rio Times — https://riotimesonline.com/spain-cis-poll-sanchez-7-8-point-lead
- Author: Contributing Reporter
- Published: 2026-11-12T16:31:04+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: spain, election, spain election 2026, cis poll, pedro sanchez, people's party, vox, spain congress deputies, spain election seats, spain poll, news, world
## Spain Poll Results
Spain's state pollster CIS shows Socialist Party with 33.3% support versus People's Party's 25.5% in pre-election survey.
## Lead Magnitude
Socialist Party leads People's Party by 7.8 points in CIS poll with 33.3% versus 25.5%.
## Seats Projected
Socialists projected 134 to 143 seats versus PP's 98 to 106 seats in 350-seat Congress of Deputies.
## Vox Position
Vox, led by Santiago Abascal, holds 18.4% support and 57 to 65 seats in CIS poll.
## Poll Timing
CIS survey released November 12, 2026, hours before Nov 29 election campaign opens.
## Private Polls Contrast
Private pollsters generally project PP and Vox together above 176 seats versus CIS's Socialist lead.
## Prediction Markets
Polymarket shows PP plus Vox majority at 90.5% with US$58,495 traded.
## Election Context
Spain requires 176 seats out of 350 to govern without partners in Nov 29 general election.
## CIS Poll Methodology
CIS conducted 45,000 telephone interviews between October 7 and October 30, 2026.
## Survey Timing
Survey conducted after October 28 rail accident in Urda, Toledo province.
## Election Impact
Split results could trigger weeks of coalition bargaining in major euro-zone economy.
## What's Unknown
PP, Vox, and government have not yet responded to CIS poll results.
## Key takeaway

Spain's state pollster CIS shows Socialist Party with 33.3% support versus PP's 25.5% ahead of Nov 29 election.