# Spain Polls Split, Bettors Back Opposition

> Spain's election polls clash as betting markets favor conservative leader Feijóo.
- Title: Spain Polls Split, Bettors Back Opposition · The Rio Times
- Summary: Spain's election polls clash as betting markets favor conservative leader Feijóo.
- Keywords: spain, election, polls, spain election 2026, polymarket, alberto nuñez feijóo, people's party, socialists, vox, congress of deputies, prime minister, The Rio Times
- Source: The Rio Times — https://riotimesonline.com/spain-polls-split-bettors-back-opposition
- Author: Contributing Reporter
- Published: 2026-11-06T23:31:14+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: spain, election, polls, spain election 2026, polymarket, alberto nuñez feijóo, people's party, socialists, vox, congress of deputies, prime minister, news
## Spain Polls Split
SW Demoscopia poll shows Socialists at 31.0% and PP at 28.5% while Celeste-Tel shows PP at 31.8% and PSOE at 25.7%.
## Bettors Back Feijóo
Polymarket predicts Alberto Núñez Feijóo has 88% chance to become Spain's next prime minister.
## Election Timeline
Spain votes on Sunday 29 November 2026 for all 350 seats in Congress, with a majority of 176 seats needed.
## Prediction Markets
Polymarket shows Pedro Sánchez at 11% and Santiago Abascal at 1% with $2.9 million traded.
## Next Debate
Sánchez and Feijóo agree to debate on Mediaset Monday 16 November with no start time confirmed.
## Poll Discrepancies
SW Demoscopia projects PSOE 127 seats, PP 116 seats, while Celeste-Tel shows PP 128 seats and PSOE 112 seats.
## Vox and PP Coalition
PP and Vox may reach 176 seats but polls show they are short of majority.
## Campaign Themes
Sánchez focuses on housing with 5,000+ crowd while Feijóo calls for change.
## Madrid Political Stance
Madrid Mayor warns campaign will be 'dirty' while Feijóo urges in-person or post voting.
## Market Impact
Close election result could delay prime minister selection until December 23.
## What's Next
PP and Vox may need coalition to reach 176 seats for majority in Congress.
## Key takeaway

Spain's election polls show Socialists leading one poll and PP ahead in another, while prediction markets give conservative leader Feijóo 88% chance to become prime minister.