# Start-ups use AI to predict future

> AI start-ups outperform human experts in forecasting markets, politics, and culture.
- Title: Start-ups use AI to predict future · The Straits Times
- Summary: AI start-ups outperform human experts in forecasting markets, politics, and culture. AI prediction tools now match top human superforecasters in accuracy…
- Keywords: start-ups, superforecasters, prediction markets, kalshi, polymarket, mantic, news, world, use, predict, future, The Straits Times
- Source: The Straits Times — https://straitstimes.com/world/startups-are-betting-on-ai-to-predict-the-future
- Published: 2026-10-12T02:10:00+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: ai, start-ups, superforecasters, prediction markets, kalshi, polymarket, mantic, news, world
## AI start-ups forecast markets
Start-ups use ai to make future forecasts on markets, politics, and culture.
## AI matches top forecasters
AI models now match or beat top human superforecasters in accuracy.
## AI wins Metaculus Cup
Two ai models took top spots in the metaculus cup competition in early september.
## AI boosts trading gains
Theo summer turned us$35 into us$1.9 million in seven months using ai tools.
## AI predicts interconnected events
AI models cross-check assumptions across events like oil prices and middle east conflicts.
## AI risks for retail investors
Retail investors may lose access to ai tools as prediction sites become dominated by ai systems.
## AI expands beyond finance
AI models now predict risks in government, science, and insurance across sectors.
## Key takeaway

AI prediction tools now match top human superforecasters in accuracy across markets, politics, and culture.