# The end of Fukuyama's end of history

> A new memoir reveals how the thinker's 1989 prophecy of liberal democracy's triumph missed the real story of our times.
- Title: The end of Fukuyama's end of history · Foreign Policy
- Summary: A new memoir reveals how the thinker's 1989 prophecy of liberal democracy's triumph missed the real story of our times. Fukuyama's famous 1989 prediction…
- Keywords: francis fukuyama, end of history, liberal democracy, authoritarianism, political philosophy, cold war, ideological struggle, jeremi suri, memoir, nietzsche, last man, democratic backsliding
- Source: Foreign Policy — https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/25/the-twilight-of-the-francis-fukuyama-era
- Author: Jeremi Suri
- Read time: 4 min
- Topics: francis fukuyama, end of history, liberal democracy, authoritarianism, political philosophy, cold war, ideological struggle, jeremi suri, memoir, nietzsche, last man, democratic backsliding
## A prophecy that shook the world
In 1989, unknown RAND analyst Francis Fukuyama delivered a lecture arguing that liberal democracy had won and history had ended. The National Interest published it that summer, and after the Berlin Wall fell, it seemed prophetic.

> What we may be witnessing is not just the end of the Cold War, or the passing of a particular period of postwar history, but the end of history as such.
## Instant celebrity from one essay
Fukuyama's article exploded globally. Newsweek and Time featured him, leading scholars rejected his argument, and a Washington newsstand reported the National Interest outsold everything, even pornography.
## The pessimism buried in triumph
Fukuyama's original essay actually ended on a dark note. He predicted that liberal democracy's victory would bring a sad era of economic calculation replacing ideological struggle, leaving people nostalgic for the drama of history.

> The struggle for recognition, the willingness to risk one's life for a purely abstract goal, will be replaced by economic calculation.
## Enter the Last Man
Fukuyama's 1992 book elaborated on this fear using Nietzsche's concept of the Last Man: a creature without pride or ambition, content with petty pleasures and material comfort, stripped of the need for personal risk.
## Boredom breeds extremism
Fukuyama observed that when life loses meaning through abundance, people seek stimulation through struggle for its own sake. He saw this on both the extreme right and left as a response to hollow materialism.

> Struggle for struggle's sake is what happens when we are at the end of history, when the world is actually in pretty good shape.
## Fukuyama's neoconservative moment
After September 11, 2001, Fukuyama felt the pull of national purpose and supported removing Saddam Hussein. But he broke with neoconservatives in February 2004 when he witnessed them celebrating Iraq's descent into civil war.

> The evening at AEI was spent celebrating what was touted as the tremendous victory that the Bush administration had achieved, at a time when Iraq was rapidly descending into a vicious civil war.
## The deep state defender
Fukuyama's break led him to defend strong state institutions and expert bureaucracies as essential to liberal democracy. He now warns against what he calls repatrimonialization, the return to tribal and patron-client politics.
## The core contradiction emerges
Liberal democracies depend on impersonal bureaucracies and distant experts to function. But these institutions bore and alienate ordinary citizens who resent decisions they cannot understand or influence.
## Disempowerment breeds authoritarianism
Fukuyama explains democratic backsliding as a reaction by people who refuse to be Last Men tinkering with a finished house. They feel disrespected and humiliated by systems that have made them materially comfortable but politically powerless.
## Capitol rioters as Last Men rebels
Fukuyama condemns the January 6, 2021 Capitol attackers as middle-class people with decent jobs who felt ignored and played-acted as armed revolutionaries to soothe Trump's narcissism.
## Fukuyama offers no real solutions
His memoir calls for replacing procedural fetishism with respect and civic organizations like schools and churches, but offers little concrete guidance on escaping the turmoil he describes.
## History never actually ended
The collapse of communism did not guarantee liberal democracy's permanence. Remaining regimes adapted to survive, not from ideological surrender, but from practical necessity and their citizens' desire for better lives.
## Crises opened the door to alternatives
Global terrorism, failed Middle East wars, and the 2008 financial crash all followed from the opening of societies after 1989. Citizens who lost homes and jobs blamed liberal democracy itself, not boredom.
## Authoritarianism as real ideology
Trump, Orban, Le Pen, and Bolsonaro offered a genuine alternative: blood and soil nationalism, rejection of pluralism, and protectionism. This is not just anti-liberal; it is a coherent competing system.
## Le Pen's ethnic nationalism
Marine Le Pen called France's Muslim population an occupation and promised to return the country to traditional families, embodying the authoritarian model's explicit rejection of liberal pluralism.
## Xi's surveillance state
China under Xi Jinping saturated society with physical and digital surveillance, eliminating any protection for individual privacy. This represents a fully realized authoritarian alternative to liberal democracy.
## The real struggle continues
From 1989 to 2024, citizens disillusioned with liberal reforms searched for alternatives. This is not the end of history but its main plot: the ongoing struggle for political legitimacy among competing systems.
## People are hungry, not bored
The world is not populated by Nietzsche's Last Men. People everywhere search for leaders and ideas that will bring meaningful jobs, healthy lives, and vibrant communities, not contentment with material comfort.
## The age of Fukuyama has ended
Fukuyama's era was one of overconfident liberal hegemony that condescended to dissenters and ignored alternatives. When the people he claimed to uplift rebelled, believers doubled down rather than rethink their worldview.
## History's new chapter awaits
If free societies survive the clash with authoritarianism, they will not resemble what they were in 1989. A new beginning of history is emerging from the twenty-first century conflict between competing systems.
## Key takeaway

Fukuyama's famous 1989 prediction that liberal democracy had won permanently ignored how authoritarianism would emerge as a genuine ideological alternative when citizens felt abandoned by the system.