# Two ways the dollar breaks next

> A trader waits out a murky inflation print and maps the two paths the dollar index can take from here.
- Title: Two ways the dollar breaks next · TradingView | Shortify
- Summary: A trader waits out a murky inflation print and maps the two paths the dollar index can take from here. When the data gives no edge, define both scenarios in…
- Keywords: dxy, forex, technical analysis, dollar, trading, business, finance, Two, ways, breaks, next, TradingView
- Source: TradingView — https://tradingview.com/chart/DXY/pcbdsXCr-DXY-Analyses
- Published: 2026-09-12T16:34:15+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: dxy, forex, technical analysis, dollar, trading, business, finance
## Inflation gave no answer
Last week's inflation numbers left the dollar index without a clear direction, so the trader is sitting out rather than forcing a position.

> Since inflation numbers last week have not given any clear direction yet it's still a waiting game for myself.
## Waiting is the position
No setup means no trade. The plan is to stay flat until price picks a side instead of guessing which way the dollar resolves.
## Bears still hold the 4h
Bearish orderflow on the 4-hour chart is currently in control. Everything that follows hinges on whether that control holds or breaks.
## Scenario one, lower
Price respects the bearish 4h orderflow and takes out the 4h fractal low a second time, opening a move down toward the yearly open level.

> breaks the 4h fractal low a second time so we can trade price towards the yearly open level
## Scenario two, higher
Price breaks the bearish 4h orderflow instead, carving out a fresh demand zone and turning the bias up.
## The target up at 100.083
If the demand zone forms, the upside destination is the major daily liquidity resting at 100.083.

> we trade price up towards the major daily liquidity laying at 100.083
## Key takeaway

When the data gives no edge, define both scenarios in advance and let price pick one.