# Will Burnham now go for an early election?

> New mega-poll shows Labour with 56-seat Commons majority under Andy Burnham, with Reform third behind Tories.
- Title: Will Burnham now go for an early election? · Dailymail
- Summary: New mega-poll shows Labour with 56-seat Commons majority under Andy Burnham, with Reform third behind Tories. Labour would win 353 seats in Commons if…
- Keywords: labour, andy burnham, reform uk, tories, commonwealth, election, polling, news, entertainment, Burnham, early, Dailymail
- Source: Dailymail — https://dailymail.com/news/article-16211167/Will-Burnham-early-election-New-mega-poll-gives-Labour-56-seat-Commons-majority-Reform-Tories.html?ito=1490&ns_campaign=1490&ns_mchannel=rss
- Published: 2026-10-15T23:01:46+00:00
- Read time: 2 min
- Topics: labour, andy burnham, reform uk, tories, commonwealth, election, polling, news, entertainment
## New mega-poll shows Labour majority
Labour would win 353 seats in the House of Commons if a general election were held tomorrow.
## Labour's 56-seat majority under Burnham
Labour enjoys a reversal in fortunes under Andy Burnham with 56-seat Commons majority.
## Reform UK third behind Tories
Reform UK is projected to have 21 per cent of the vote behind the Tories at 18 per cent.
## Tories projected at 18 per cent
The Conservatives are projected to win 90 seats with 18 per cent of the vote.
## Labour's vote up from 17 per cent
Labour's support has risen to 28 per cent from 17 per cent in April.
## Reform UK's vote down
Reform UK's support has dropped from 21 per cent to 21 per cent in the latest poll.
## Restore Britain's 8 per cent
Restore Britain, fronted by Rupert Lowe, is projected at 8 per cent.
## Labour's tactical voting
More than a third of Labour voters are willing to vote Tory to keep Reform out of power.
## Kemi Badenoch's party
Kemi Badenoch's party would have more MPs than Reform UK with 81 constituencies.
## Labour's 353 seats
Labour is projected to win 353 seats in the House of Commons.
## Burnham's Left-of-centre rhetoric
Burnham has used clear Left-of-centre rhetoric to win back voters from Liberal Democrats and Greens.
## Right split
The Right remains split with Restore Britain winning only one seat.
## Conservatives and Reform pact
A pact between Conservatives and Reform would give them just 171 seats.
## Labour's majority
Labour now has an outright majority with 353 seats compared to 171 for Conservatives and Reform.
## Fieldwork dates
Fieldwork for the latest MRP was conducted between 25 September and 2 October.
## Burnham's early election speculation
Many in Westminster are braced for Mr Burnham to call a national vote in May next year or as soon as this December.
## Key takeaway

Labour would win 353 seats in Commons if election held tomorrow, giving Burnham a majority with Reform third behind Tories.