# World set to breach 1.5C warming limit

> The UN warns that global temperatures will overshoot the Paris Agreement target, requiring massive emissions cuts and risky carbon removal to limit the damage.
- Title: World set to breach 1.5C warming limit · RFI | Shortify
- Summary: The UN warns that global temperatures will overshoot the Paris Agreement target, requiring massive emissions cuts and risky carbon removal to limit the…
- Keywords: climate change, paris agreement, global warming, emissions, united nations, carbon removal, fossil fuels, renewable energy, cop31, antalya, news, world
- Source: RFI — https://rfi.fr/en/environment/20261021-world-set-to-breach-1-5c-warming-limit-as-un-warns-time-is-running-out
- Read time: 2 min
- Topics: climate change, paris agreement, global warming, emissions, united nations, carbon removal, fossil fuels, renewable energy, cop31, antalya, news, world
## One point five degrees is lost
The UN Environment Programme warns that global warming will breach the one point five degrees Celsius target from the twenty fifteen Paris Agreement after decades of insufficient climate action.
## Temperatures already at one point four
Average global warming is already around one point four degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times. The past nine years have been the hottest on record, and twenty twenty-four was the first year to average more than…
## Emissions unchanged from last year
In twenty twenty-five, global emissions stood at fifty-eight point four gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent.
## Overshoot is now unavoidable
After decades of falling short on emissions cuts, a larger overshoot of the one point five degree Celsius limit is now imminent and unavoidable.

> Overshoot is not surrender. We can still keep it as small and as short as possible.
## Best case needs eighteen percent cuts
In the best-case scenario, warming would peak at one point seven or one point eight degrees Celsius around mid-century before falling.
## Current pledges fall far short
Even if governments fully implement their national climate plans, emissions would fall by only five to eight percent by twenty thirty and eleven to fifteen percent by twenty thirty-five.
## Fossil fuels must be phased out
Returning to one point five degrees Celsius would require cutting coal's share of the world's energy supply by fifty-five percent by twenty thirty-five, oil by fifteen percent and gas by five percent.
## Carbon removal is costly and risky
Bringing temperatures back down would require removing about three hundred twenty gigatonnes of carbon dioxide over the century.

> Removal on such a scale is costly and risky.
## Solar power expands, fossil fuels lag
Solar power has expanded seven times faster than expected since the Paris Agreement, while renewables are on track to meet the goal of tripling global capacity by twenty thirty.
## Fossil fuels must be phased out faster
Countries at the twenty twenty-three Cop twenty-eight UN climate summit in Dubai agreed to transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems.

> We are not seeing progress anywhere near what is needed.
## Key takeaway

The UN Environment Programme warns that global warming will breach the one point five degrees Celsius target set by the Paris Agreement, requiring far larger emissions cuts and carbon removal from the atmosphere.