Brazil's court crisis could return Bolsonaros to power

A scandal engulfing the supreme court judge who convicted Jair Bolsonaro is helping his son Flávio overtake Lula days before the election runoff.

Oct 13, 2026

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Brazil's court crisis could return Bolsonaros to power

A scandal engulfing the supreme court judge who convicted Jair Bolsonaro is helping his son Flávio overtake Lula days before the election runoff.

In brief

A scandal engulfing the supreme court judge who convicted Jair Bolsonaro is helping his son Flávio overtake Lula days before the election runoff. A corruption scandal involving Brazil's supreme court justice Alexandre de Moraes, who convicted Jair Bolsonaro, has damaged Lula's re-election chances and boosted his son…

Flávio leads Lula days before runoff

Flávio leads Lula days before runoff

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, Jair's eldest son, is the favourite to beat leftwing incumbent Lula in Brazil's presidential election second round on twenty-five October.

Flávio attacks Moraes, not Lula

Thundering to far-right supporters in São Paulo on September seventh, Brazil's Independence Day, Flávio focused less on Lula than on supreme court justice Alexandre de Moraes.

Bolsonaro links Moraes to Lula

Flávio told supporters: whoever votes for Lula is voting for Alexandre de Moraes. Bolsonaro's supporters have linked the two men since Moraes oversaw the case convicting his father.

“Whoever votes for Lula is voting for Alexandre de Moraes.”

Jair Bolsonaro sentenced to twenty-seven years

Jair Bolsonaro sentenced to twenty-seven years

The former president was sentenced to twenty-seven years in prison for attempting a coup, in a case overseen by justice Alexandre de Moraes.

Moraes caught in banking scandal

Days before the election runoff, Moraes is at the centre of a presidential scandal. His wife's law firm had a contract worth about twenty million pounds with Daniel Vorcaro, a banker accused of orchestrating Brazil's…

Text messages suggest close relationship

Text messages emerged suggesting a close relationship between Moraes and Vorcaro. The judge denies the messages are authentic.

Half the court drawn into scandal

Half the court drawn into scandal

Investigations revealed that at least four other justices had links to the disgraced banker, meaning half of the court's ten current justices have been drawn into the scandal.

Lula blames court crisis for poor result

The day after losing the first round, Lula blamed his poor result in part on having to carry on his back the promiscuity of the supreme court, distancing himself from the crisis.

“carry on his back … the promiscuity”

Court crisis swayed indecisive voters

Many analysts agree the supreme court crisis played a decisive role, particularly among indecisive voters who ultimately decide elections when the electorate is divided between two similarly sized blocs.

Voters saw court as corrupt

Voters saw court as corrupt

Political scientist Camila Rocha interviewed undecided voters who said: everything is very confusing, but one thing we do know is that the big villain is Alexandre de Moraes.

“Everything is very confusing, but one thing we do know is that the big villain is Alexandre de Moraes.”

Vorcaro arrested with banking fraud charges

Vorcaro has been behind bars since arrested in November as he prepared to board a private jet from São Paulo to Malta.

Flávio investigated over twenty million pounds

Flávio Bolsonaro is being investigated over what happened to the twenty million pounds he was caught on tape asking Vorcaro to provide for a biopic about his father.

Far right could reshape the court

Far right could reshape the court

The far right's sweeping victory ensured a more conservative congress in twenty twenty-seven, including the senate majority needed to impeach supreme court justices, a demand among Jair's supporters since his conviction.

Bolsonaro could fill four court seats

Should Bolsonaro win, he could be entitled to fill four seats as justices retire during his term, leaving the court with at least six of its eleven members appointed by either him or his father.

The bottom line

A corruption scandal involving Brazil's supreme court justice Alexandre de Moraes, who convicted Jair Bolsonaro, has damaged Lula's re-election chances and boosted his son Flávio's lead ahead of the October twenty-fifth runoff.

Read the original on the Guardian

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