UK economy grows 0.1% in August despite spending fall

Surprise growth confounds forecasts and gives Chancellor John Healey a boost before his first budget on October 28.

Oct 15, 2026

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UK economy grows 0.1% in August despite spending fall

Surprise growth confounds forecasts and gives Chancellor John Healey a boost before his first budget on October 28.

In brief

Surprise growth confounds forecasts and gives Chancellor John Healey a boost before his first budget on October 28. The UK economy grew zero point one percent in August against forecasts of contraction, driven by manufacturing strength despite falling consumer spending. Originally reported by the Guardian.

UK economy grows against the odds

UK economy grows against the odds

The Office for National Statistics reported UK gross domestic product rose zero point one percent in August, confounding City economists who forecast a zero point one percent contraction.

Growth slowed from July's pace

August's zero point one percent growth compared with zero point four percent growth in July, as the Middle East conflict and rising energy costs hit British households and businesses.

Consumer spending fell sharply

The consumer-facing services sector fell zero point three percent in August following a zero point one percent decline in July, with sports, amusement and food and drink services hit hardest.

Manufacturing drove the surprise

Manufacturing drove the surprise

The production sector, which includes manufacturing, mining and energy generation, grew zero point eight percent in August. Construction output fell zero point two percent.

Wider growth picture remains strong

Gross domestic product over three months to end of August rose zero point seven percent. On an annual basis the economy grew two point one percent, the strongest rate since August two thousand twenty-two.

Economists warn of slowdown ahead

Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank, said the UK's resilience story continues, but analysts expect momentum to falter as households come under pressure from rising inflation and energy bills.

“The UK's resilience story continues. It's hard to overstate how strong the UK performance has been all year.”

Healey faces budget balancing act

Healey faces budget balancing act

Chancellor John Healey will announce his tax and spending package on twenty-eighth October under pressure to support households, while the International Monetary Fund upgraded UK growth forecasts but warned of slowdown in two thousand twenty-seven.

The key point

The UK economy grew zero point one percent in August against forecasts of contraction, driven by manufacturing strength despite falling consumer spending.

Read the original on the Guardian

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