Fed Holds Rates at 3.75%-4%; December Hike Odds at 85%

Fed keeps rates steady at 3.75%-4% as December hike odds hit 85%.

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Oct 28, 2026

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Fed Holds Rates at 3.75%-4%; December Hike Odds at 85%

Fed keeps rates steady at 3.75%-4% as December hike odds hit 85%.

In brief

Fed keeps rates steady at 3.75%-4% as December hike odds hit 85%. The US Federal Reserve held interest rates at 3.75%-4.00% with 85% chance of a December hike. Originally reported by BigGo Finance.

Fed Holds Rates

Fed Holds Rates at 3.75%-4%; December Hike Odds at 85%

The US Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate at 3.75%-4.00% on the 28th.

Vote Split

The vote was 10-2 with Fed Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack dissenting.

Chair Warsh's Stance

Chair Kevin Warsh stressed inflation remains too high with no exceptions to price stability.

“There are no exceptions or caveats to delivering price stability, and there will not be”

Economic Assessment

Economic Assessment

The Fed upgraded economic activity from "solid" to expanding at a "strong pace".

Market Reaction

10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.047% as interest-rate futures price 85% chance of December hike.

Fed Meeting Structure

Fed plans to overhaul meeting structure starting in 2027 with one strategic meeting per year.

Inflation Concerns

Chair Warsh noted inflation remains too high with financial conditions tightening.

Political Context

Fed officials mentioned no political considerations during the meeting despite midterm elections approaching.

“there was no mention of the political situation or elections during the meeting, and political considerations never played a role”

The main idea

The US Federal Reserve held interest rates at 3.75%-4.00% with 85% chance of a December hike.

Read the original on BigGo Finance

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