From NZ Herald · · 2m
Harry Mowbray: Vote-splitting boosted coalition re-election chances
National's 42 electorate seats with 29.2% party vote highlight vote-splitting strategy's impact.
In brief
National's 42 electorate seats with 29.2% party vote highlight vote-splitting strategy's impact. Harry Mowbray says strategic vote-splitting helped National secure 42 electorates despite only 29.2% party vote share. Originally reported by NZ Herald.
Vote-splitting strategy
Harry Mowbray helped push a campaign urging right-leaning voters to give National electorate votes while party votes to Act or New Zealand First.
“There was over a 20% swing. So that’s huge. It is the only thing that has saved the centre-right in this country.”
National's results
National won 42 electorates but only 29.2% of the party vote, creating an overhang with 131 seats in Parliament.
Coalition impact

National's coalition partners increased their party vote share since 2023, making re-election more likely.
Mowbray's criticism
Mowbray said National leaders 'should be feeling very embarrassed' about election results.
National's response
National criticized the strategy, alleging it was 'playing with matches and blowing fires'.
Mowbray's view

Mowbray believes National's campaign focused on self-interest rather than national issues.
Election outcome
National secured 29.4% of party vote against 42 electorate seats, with Labour neck and neck.
Overhang seats
Preliminary results show 11 overhang seats in a 131-seat Parliament, including Te Pāti Māori's five electorate wins.
Mowbray's disappointment

Mowbray expressed disappointment that National leaders focused on self-interest in their campaigns.
Chris Luxon's stance
Chris Luxon avoided commenting on whether vote-splitting helped National's re-election chances.
Mowbray's advice
Mowbray urged National leaders to do the arithmetic to understand their election results.
Party vote changes
Act and New Zealand First both increased their party vote share since 2023.
Electoral strategy
The vote-splitting strategy aimed to create an overhang by securing National electorate seats while gaining proportional seats for other parties.
Mowbray's background
Harry Mowbray is a wealthy businessman and political donor whose children founded toy company Zuru.
National's criticism
National accused Mowbray of 'playing with matches and blowing fires' by promoting the vote-splitting strategy.
Mowbray's media impact
Mowbray said media coverage helped spread the vote-splitting message further than intended.
The headline
Harry Mowbray says strategic vote-splitting helped National secure 42 electorates despite only 29.2% party vote share.

