Cook shifts 19 races

The Cook Political Report shifted 19 congressional races toward Democrats in their latest updates, less than two weeks out from the midterm elections.

Republicans face narrow majority

Republicans currently hold 218 seats, while Democrats hold 214 seats, so only a few pickups would shift the balance of power.

Trump approval at record lows

Trump’s approval rating has fallen to record lows ahead of the midterms.

Historical pattern

Historically, when the president is unpopular, his party loses seats in the midterms.

2018 blue wave

Democrats flipped more than 40 House seats during Trump’s first term in 2018.

Todd Belt analysis

Todd Belt, director of the Political Management Program at The George Washington University, said the new forecasts signal an environment 'looking really good for Democrats'.

“looking really good for democrats”

Courtney Rice statement

Courtney Rice, communications director for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, said the rating changes 'reflect just how much our candidates’ relentless focus on lowering costs is resonating with voters'.

“reflect just how much our candidates’ relentless focus on lowering costs is resonating with voters”

Cook analyst view

Cook analyst Erin Covey wrote that Republicans’ path to retaining their slim House majority has 'all but evaporated'.

“all but evaporated”

Democratic forecast

Cook believes Democrats will flip between 12 and 22 seats, giving them a majority of 227 to 237 seats by 2027.

Polling data

The latest polling shows Democrats up 11 points on the generic ballot, 52 percent to 41 percent.

Kevin McCarthy comment

Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy believes Democrats are likely to retake the House majority.

What happens next

Early voting is underway in several states as campaigns spend days making final pitches to motivate bases and undecided voters.