From Newsweek · · 50s
Nate Silver Upgrades Democrats' Senate Chances
Nate Silver's model now predicts Democrats have a 75% chance of winning Senate control in November.
In brief
Nate Silver's model now predicts Democrats have a 75% chance of winning Senate control in November. Nate Silver's FLIPR forecast upgraded Democrats' Senate chances to 75% probability of victory. Originally reported by Newsweek.
Nate Silver's Senate Forecast
Polling guru Nate Silver upgraded Democrats' chances of winning Senate control in November's midterm elections to 75 percent probability.
FLIPR Forecast Methodology
FLIPR combines polling data with leading indicators and expert ratings to estimate election outcomes through 40,000 simulations.
Senate Battlegrounds
Key races in Maine, Ohio, Alaska, North Carolina, and Texas could determine Senate control for Democrats.
Probability Shift
Democrats' chances moved from 'Lean D' to 'Likely D' in Silver's model, indicating stronger Democratic prospects.
The essence
Nate Silver's FLIPR forecast upgraded Democrats' Senate chances to 75% probability of victory.
