Pennsylvania and New Jersey Polls Ahead of Election Day

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro leads Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 25 points in gubernatorial race as Democrats aim for full state government control.

Nov 2, 2026

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Pennsylvania and New Jersey Polls Ahead of Election Day

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro leads Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 25 points in gubernatorial race as Democrats aim for full state government control.

In brief

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro leads Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 25 points in gubernatorial race as Democrats aim for full state government control. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro leads Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 25 points in gubernatorial race as Democrats aim for full state government control…

Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Race

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro leads Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 25 points in gubernatorial race as Democrats aim for full state government control.

Shapiro's Campaign Lead

Shapiro holds 59% of expected votes compared to Garrity's 34% in latest Research Co. poll, with a 25-point lead.

Garrity's Fundraising

Garrity raised at least $4.5 million from skill games industry companies and lobbying groups in latest fundraising period.

Shapiro vs. Garrity Policy

Shapiro seeks to legalize skill games and tax them at 52% rate while Garrity proposes flat $500 monthly tax.

State Supreme Court Ruling

State Supreme Court defined skill games as slot machines earlier this year, giving legislature until Oct. 13 to amend gaming laws.

Garrity's Polling Struggles

Garrity trailed Shapiro in polls, fundraising, and name recognition with 26% of Republicans and 33% of voters unaware of her name.

Shapiro's Presidential Plans

Shapiro is widely expected to consider a presidential campaign in 2028 following a strong Pennsylvania win.

New Jersey Senate Race

Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker is expected to easily beat Republican Justin Murphy in New Jersey Senate race.

Senate Control Dynamics

Democrats lead in seven states that determine Senate control, needing four net gains to win.

House Races in Pennsylvania

First District race between Republican Brian Fitzpatrick and Democrat Bob Harvie is the only close U.S. House race in Southeast Pennsylvania.

State Legislative Control

Republicans have controlled Pennsylvania Senate since 1994, but Democrats hope to gain control this election.

New Jersey Legislative Control

Democrats hold both legislative chambers in New Jersey by wide margins.

The key point

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro leads Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 25 points in gubernatorial race as Democrats aim for full state government control.

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