Federal Climate Spending Boosted Both Party Incumbents

Inflation Reduction Act funding helped Republican and Democratic incumbents win re-election in 2024.

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Federal Climate Spending Boosted Both Party Incumbents

Inflation Reduction Act funding helped Republican and Democratic incumbents win re-election in 2024.

In brief

Inflation Reduction Act funding helped Republican and Democratic incumbents win re-election in 2024. Inflation Reduction Act investments increased 2024 election vote shares for both party incumbents by 0.9 percentage points per $2 billion federal spending. Originally reported by The Conversation.

Inflation Reduction Act passes

Inflation Reduction Act passes

The Inflation Reduction Act passed in 2022 with no Republican votes in the House or Senate.

Bill authorized $370 billion

Bill authorized $370 billion

The law authorized $370 billion for climate change and greenhouse gas emissions reduction.

Tax credits and incentives

Tax credits and incentives

The bill included tax credits up to $7,500 for electric vehicles and energy efficiency incentives.

Over $204 billion spent

Over $204 billion spent

Over $204 billion was spent on clean energy projects before the 2024 election.

79% in Republican districts

A large building is under construction, with many trucks and other pieces of equipment outside.

79% of the law’s investment went to Republican congressional districts.

Republican support for tax credits

A man sitting at a desk holds up a piece of paper while surrounded by other people who are smiling.

18 Republican House members urged preserving clean energy tax credits in August 2024.

Election results improved

Rep. Bennie Thompson gained 61.8% of votes in Mississippi’s 2nd District after $588 million funding.

Vote share increase

Rep. Tim Walberg received 65.7% of votes in Michigan’s 5th District after $2 billion funding.

Statistical analysis

Doubling federal investment increased incumbents’ 2024 vote share by 0.9 percentage points over 2022.

The one thing

Inflation Reduction Act investments increased 2024 election vote shares for both party incumbents by 0.9 percentage points per $2 billion federal spending.

Read the original on The Conversation

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