From Daily Maverick · Paul Berkowitz · · 1m 20s
Four polls show ANC losing ground to DA ahead of local elections
National surveys reveal the ANC has fallen at least six points since 2024, while the DA has grown by at least three, but the picture masks sharp urban decline.
In brief
National surveys reveal the ANC has fallen at least six points since 2024, while the DA has grown by at least three, but the picture masks sharp urban decline. Four national polls show the ANC declining by at least six percentage points from its forty point two percent in the twenty twenty-four election, while the DA…
Four polls track party support
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The Common Sense/Social Research Foundation released a poll in August. Ipsos released one in early September. News twenty-four/Sabi released one in early October. A second TCS/SRF poll came in mid-October.
ANC falls, DA rises across all surveys
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Compared with its forty point two percent share in the twenty twenty-four national election, the ANC has fallen by at least six percentage points.The DA has grown by at least three points.
National polls mask urban decline
National polls check the national pulse but blur the ANC's decline across urban South Africa, particularly in Gauteng.Smaller parties like the IFP, FF+ and ActionSA have outsized effects in the metros that national figures obscure.
ANC's urban rejection shapes metro contests
The ANC's increasing rejection by urban voters means its declining national share is still greater than what it can hope for in the metros.
The essence
Four national polls show the ANC declining by at least six percentage points from its forty point two percent in the twenty twenty-four election, while the DA grows by at least three points.
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