From Newsweek · · 1m 50s
Trump’s Urban Approval Rises in Key Cities
Trump’s urban approval jumps 20 points as cities shift midterms.
In brief
Trump’s urban approval jumps 20 points as cities shift midterms. Trump’s net urban approval rose 20 points between July and October, potentially affecting Georgia and Michigan’s midterms. Originally reported by Newsweek.
Trump’s Urban Approval Shifts
President Donald Trump’s net approval rating in urban areas improved by 20 points between July and October according to Echelon Insights polling.
Midterm Impact in Cities
Democrats depend on commanding margins in major cities to carry competitive statewide races during the November 3 midterms.
Atlanta and Detroit Matter
Modest changes in support or turnout around Atlanta and Detroit could affect Georgia’s governor’s race and Michigan’s open Senate contest.
Polling Data
Trump’s urban figures: July 23% approval/76% disapproval (net -53), August 28%/71% (net -43), September 26%/72% (net -46), October 33%/66% (net -33).
Political Scientists Explain
Political scientists and Republican strategists suggest crime, GOP advertising, or changes in Trump’s urban coalition could be contributing to the shift.
Schatz on Urban Sampling
Daniel Schatz, a political scientist, warned that urban sample size and weighting are crucial for accurate polling.
National Polling Context
The October Echelon Insights poll found Trump at 39% approval against 60% disapproval nationally with a 3.6% sampling error.
Minority Voter Movement
Brittany Martinez, a Republican strategist, suspected minority-voter movement was contributing to Trump’s urban approval rise.
Pew Research Findings
Pew Research found Democrats leading Republicans by 51% to 24% among Hispanic voters and 70% to 7% among Black voters.
White House Response
White House spokesman Davis Ingle credited Trump’s coalition with tax cuts, border enforcement, and energy production.
Atlanta Election Dynamics
Rick Jackson, a Republican healthcare executive, leads Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia’s governor’s race with 48.4% to 46.6%.
Detroit Turnout Risk
Lower Democratic turnout could prove as consequential as voters moving toward Republicans in Detroit’s elections.
The one thing
Trump’s net urban approval rose 20 points between July and October, potentially affecting Georgia and Michigan’s midterms.
