#prediction markets
62 stories

LatAm Expat & Nomad Daily Guide
Hurricane Trudy heads for Mexico's Pacific coast as Colombia's visa deadline nears.
The Rio Times · 1m

Fed Hike Odds Jump After US Inflation
Prediction markets now show 47.5% chance of Fed rate hike in October after hot US inflation report.
The Rio Times · 1m

Bitcoin Odds for $80,000 and $92,500
Bitcoin prediction markets show higher chance of touching $80,000 than $92,500 in October.
TokenPost · 1m

Ex-Sen. Blanche Lincoln Now Lobbies Kalshi
Ex-Sen. Blanche Lincoln, who once warned sports contracts lacked commercial value, now pushes for prediction market firm Kalshi.
New York Post · 1m
Start-ups use AI to predict future
AI start-ups outperform human experts in forecasting markets, politics, and culture.
The Straits Times · 1m

CFTC Targets Prediction Platforms for Regulatory Clarity
CFTC seeks to include prediction platforms in swaps to resolve legal conflicts with state gambling laws.
Pymnts · 1m

Broncos vs Chargers odds
Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 offers $55 sign-up bonus for NFL Week 5 trades.
CBS Sports · 1m

Senator Blanche Lincoln Hired by Kalshi
Former senator who banned prediction markets now lobbies to allow sports gambling on them.
Futurism · 1m

Catalyst raises $30M seed for AI trading agents
Catalyst's AI trading agents simplify complex finance for retail investors.
Dealroom · 1m

Gambling nonprofit chief quits over prediction market donation
The head of the National Council on Problem Gambling resigned after the organization accepted two million dollars from Kalshi without board approval, sparking internal revolt and state withdrawals.
Fortune · 1m

Prediction market Kalshi hires FBI agent to fight money laundering
As prediction markets face legal scrutiny, Kalshi brings in a former federal prosecutor to build defenses against financial crime.
NPR · 1m

Stop Betting on Prediction Markets
Prediction markets favor professionals over casual bettors.
Kiplinger · 1m

Latin American Pulse: Brazil's Runoff Anxiety
Brazil braces for runoff election as Bolsonaro leads Lula in prediction markets.
The Rio Times · 1m

NFL Pushes for State Regulation of Prediction Markets
NFL seeks Supreme Court approval to let states oversee prediction markets after CFTC fails to address risks.
Pymnts · 1m

Senator's prediction market flip: from ban to lobby
Blanche Lincoln wrote the law to ban sports betting on prediction markets in 2010. Now she lobbies for Kalshi to allow exactly that.
Ars Technica · 4m

Crypto regulator shrinks as markets expand
CFTC staff cuts and enforcement drops as crypto and prediction markets grow.
NPR · 2m

DraftKings Stock Falls on Prediction-Market Spending Plans
DraftKings shares drop 4% as CEO reveals aggressive prediction-market spending plans, while Flutter Entertainment slips and Robinhood rises.
24/7 Wall St. · 1m

Kalshi Sports Bets Face Legal Challenge
Federal court rules Kalshi's sports contracts aren't federally regulated swaps.
Pymnts · 1m

Public launches AI agents for prediction market trading
The investing app partners with Kalshi to let users deploy automated strategies tied to real-world events.
Fortune · 1m

New York sues Polymarket over illegal gambling
New York's Attorney General and Governor announce a lawsuit against the prediction market platform, claiming it operates as an unlicensed gambling business.
Engadget · 1m

CBS News Uses Prediction Markets for Elections
CBS News partners with Kalshi to bet on US elections, risking journalistic integrity.
Futurism · 1m

Kalshi's value hinges on a Supreme Court bet
A new report values the prediction market startup at up to $42.1 billion, but a looming legal case could upend everything.
Fortune · 2m

Washington Fears Polymarket Bank Failure Bets Could Spark Panic
Bank regulators worry Polymarket's bank failure contracts might trigger panic.
Pymnts · 1m

Prediction market founders on TIME100 Next
Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara built Kalshi, now valued at forty billion dollars, to bring prediction markets to ordinary people.
TIME · 1m

Kalshi seeks margin trading approval
The prediction market platform asks regulators to let traders borrow money to buy event contracts, a move rivals are also pursuing.
CNBC · 1m

World Cup viewers exposed to harmful branding
World Cup broadcasts show 93,000+ unhealthy food, alcohol and gambling brand appearances every seven seconds.
Bristol · 2m

Polymarket Slams New York Lawsuit
New York sues Polymarket over illegal gambling claims.
Pymnts · 1m

California NFL Predictions with Polymarket Code
California fans get $50 trading credits using Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS for NFL Week 3 predictions on 49ers, Chargers, Rams.
CBS Sports · 1m

Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS for NFL Week 3
Texas fans get $50 trading credits with Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS for Texans and Cowboys games.
CBS Sports · 1m

Bills vs Chargers Prediction Markets
Kalshi odds show Bills win at $0.76, Chargers at $0.25.
CBS Sports · 1m

Polymarket Beats Wall Street on Earnings
Online bettors outperform Wall Street analysts in earnings predictions by 35 points.
24/7 Wall St. · 1m

Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction Markets
Ravens win odds at Polymarket: $0.62.
CBS Sports · 1m

GOP Faces North Carolina Senate Poll Defeat
Republican pollster shows Democrat Roy Cooper leading by 15 points in critical Senate race.
Newsweek · 1m

Polymarket lobbies EU to dodge gambling rules
The prediction market platform is pushing regulators to treat it as a financial service, not gambling, to overturn bans in Spain and France.
Engadget · 1m

Kalshi loses again as judges rule prediction markets must obey gambling laws
A federal appeals court sided with Ohio and Tennessee, ruling that Kalshi's sports betting platform must follow state gambling laws, not just federal oversight.
Ars Technica · 1m

Kalshi Pushes Margin Trading for Institutional Use
Kalshi seeks CFTC approval for margin trading on event contracts to attract institutional traders.
Pymnts · 1m

Falcons-Packers TNF First Touchdown Prediction
Who scores first in Week 3 NFC clash? Kalshi odds hint at Drake London for Falcons, Matthew Golden for Packers.
CBS Sports · 1m

Polymarket Fraud Scheme Targets Stolen Debit Cards
Fraudsters use prediction markets to launder millions via stolen debit cards.
Futurism · 1m

Why Index Funds Beat Prediction Markets
Young investors drawn to prediction markets for quick returns should know the odds are stacked against them.
Kiplinger · 2m

Polymarket's growth strategy clashes with fraud controls
The prediction market platform allegedly prioritized expansion over compliance as fraud attempts spiked.
Pymnts · 1m

Vance seeks another chance as Democrats hit record midterm odds
Vice President JD Vance is asking voters to re-elect Republicans, but prediction markets and polls show Democrats surging ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Newsweek · 2m

New York sues Polymarket over illegal gambling
New York is taking on a prediction market platform it says is gambling in disguise, defying the Trump administration's support for the industry.
Ars Technica · 2m · 6 views

Giants Super Bowl odds jump to 3% after Week 1 win
New York's dominant performance against Dallas has prediction markets reconsidering their championship chances.
SI · 1m

New York sues Polymarket over illegal gambling
New York's attorney general is taking aim at prediction market platforms, accusing them of running unlicensed gambling operations that put young people at risk.
Futurism · 1m

Yahoo Finance dumps Polymarket prediction markets hub
Yahoo Finance ended its partnership with prediction market platform Polymarket after shutting down their joint hub in April.
Pymnts · 1m

2026 NBA Rookie class shows 2003 potential
Prediction markets favor Caleb Wilson and Cam Boozer for Rookie of the Year after dominant Summer League performances.
SI · 1m

Why cash-only betting could curb gambling problems
An economist proposes requiring gamblers to use paper money instead of digital payments to reduce addiction and fraud.
The Conversation · 3m

Sydney Sweeney's viral ad playbook
The actress doesn't just star in controversial campaigns. She engineers them, takes equity stakes, and outperforms bigger budgets.
Fortune · 2m

Robinhood's bet on becoming your entire financial life
The trading app is expanding into banking, crypto, and AI to capture more of how customers manage money.
TechCrunch · 1m

CFTC opens prediction markets to software developers
Regulators exempt passive software providers from broker registration, clearing the way for crypto and prediction market platforms.
Pymnts · 1m

Pollsters face a reckoning ahead of 2026 midterms
A decade of polling failures, fake surveys, and competition from prediction markets has left election forecasters scrambling to rebuild credibility.
The Conversation · 2m · 5 views

LeBron's $15M prediction market deal raises eyebrows
LeBron James signs a massive endorsement deal with Polymarket just weeks after the NBA cracked down on gambling partnerships.
CBS Sports · 1m

Can Democrats flip the Senate? What the data shows
Prediction markets and forecasters now give Democrats the edge, but the outcome hinges on six toss-up races.
Newsweek · 1m

Democrats gain edge in Senate race, prediction markets show
Traders on betting platforms now give Democrats a 55-59% chance of flipping the Senate this November.
CNBC · 1m

Polymarket wants to be your next news source
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are positioning themselves as media companies, not just places to bet on future events.
WIRED · 2m

Sydney Sweeney's Novig ad hits a nerve
A betting app bought attention with a nearly nude ad, and elite female athletes decided to take the fight public.
Newsweek · 1m

The prediction market edge is shrinking fast
Wall Street money is pouring into Polymarket and Kalshi, and the easy mispricings are disappearing with it.
CNBC · 1m

Prior wants to forecast your future
A prediction platform that turns any question about what happens next into a calibrated probability report.
Prior · 1m

Cathie Wood buys back into Robinhood
ARK dumped Robinhood all summer, then reversed course in September. Here is what the numbers behind the buy look like.
Yahoo Finance · 2m · 5 views

When insiders bet on their own decisions
Prediction markets promise honest odds, but the people who move events are now placing the bets.
Fortune · 1m